2007 Annual Real Estate Report

San Mateo Home Prices Rise in 2007

Prices of single-family, re-sale homes and condos continued to rise in 2007. Of course, the numbers are a bit deceptive, especially in this market. The number of home sales above $1,000,000 has become an increasingly larger percentage of total home sales. This has the effect of skewing the numbers upward.

The median price for single-family homes in 2007 was $936,000, a gain of 7.7% over 2006. The average price gained 7.4% to 1,209,838. There was no month in which the year-over-year median price difference was negative.

The median price for condos rose 8.9% to $599,000 over 2006 and the average price gained 5.6% to $616,689.

Inventory was lower last year compared to 2006. The number of new listings that came to market last year was 3.5% lower than the year before for homes, and down 12.1% for condos.

The story of the year was the credit crunch. It slashed demand to the bone. Gone are 100% mortgages and no-doc mortgages. The tightening of underwriting has caused many people not to qualify for a home loan.

Sales were already weak before the credit crunch, but afterwards, they went into free-fall. Home sales were off 16.7% year-over-year. Not bad considering the 30% plus drop in Santa Clara County. Condo sales were down 27%.

This is now the third year in a row home and condo sales have fallen. I expect we're nearing the bottom of the market, although we probably won't see much of a pick-up until the second half of the year.

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES % Change from Year Before
Area Year No. Sales Median Price Average Price Avg DOM New Listings Sales Median Price Average Price New Listings
SMC 1998 5,746 $418,444 $520,901 40 7,830        
SMC 1999 6,434 $475,000 $620,436 45 7,273 12.0% 13.5% 19.1% -7.1%
SMC 2000 5,659 $600,000 $838,782 29 6,944 -12.0% 26.3% 35.2% -4.5%
SMC 2001 4,740 $590,000 $791,809 46 8,033 -16.2% -1.7% -5.6% 15.7%
SMC 2002 5,951 $625,000 $787,021 44 8,211 25.5% 5.9% -0.6% 2.2%
SMC 2003 6,454 $650,000 $805,867 46 8,471 8.5% 4.0% 2.4% 3.2%
SMC 2004 6,564 $755,000 $957,347 33 7,756 1.7% 16.2% 18.8% -8.4%
SMC 2005 5,877 $867,450 $1,097,324 32 7,998 -10.5% 14.9% 14.6% 3.1%
SMC 2006 5,006 $869,000 $1,126,572 43 7,723 -14.8% 0.2% 2.7% -3.4%
SMC 2007 4,172 $936,000 $1,209,838 51 7,452 -16.7% 7.7% 7.4% -3.5%

The chart below has the prices and the unit sales in the thousands. If you see a chart with ($000's), then only the price is in the thousands and the unit sales are as they appear.

CONDOS % Change from Year Before
Area Year No. Sales Median Price Average Price Avg DOM New Listings Sales Median Price Average Price New Listings
SMC 1998 1,986 $240,000 $264,233 39 2,485        
SMC 1999 2,096 $278,888 $300,623 32 2,272 5.5% 16.2% 13.8% -8.6%
SMC 2000 1,804 $360,000 $396,061 21 2,016 -13.9% 29.1% 31.7% -11.3%
SMC 2001 1,424 $384,975 $407,775 47 2,637 -21.1% 6.9% 3.0% 30.8%
SMC 2002 2,087 $385,000 $409,365 43 2,639 46.6% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1%
SMC 2003 2,146 $401,000 $426,537 46 2,687 2.8% 4.2% 4.2% 1.8%
SMC 2004 2,402 $465,000 $489,297 25 2,575 11.9% 16.0% 14.7% -4.2%
SMC 2005 1,983 $550,000 $586,712 24 2,694 -17.4% 18.3% 19.9% 4.6%
SMC 2006 1,779 $550,000 $583,880 46 2,783 -10.3% 0.0% -0.5% 3.3%
SMC 2007 1,299 $599,000 $616,689 54 2,445 -27.0% 8.9% 5.6% -12.1%