2007 Annual Real Estate Report

Santa Cruz Home Prices Rose in 2007

Prices of single-family, re-sale homes and condos rose in 2007, after a small decline in 2006. Of course, the numbers are a bit deceptive, especially in this market. First, the number of home sales above $1,000,000 has increased and this has the effect of skewing the numbers upward.

The median price for single-family homes for the year was $755,000, a gain of 1.2% over 2006. The average price gained 3.3% to $857,148.

Condo prices fared a bit worse with the median price down 4.2% to $503,000 over 2006, but the average price gained 1.3% to $547,281.

Inventory was lower last year compared to 2006, which probably helped keep prices firm. The number of new listings that came to market last year was 17.2% lower than the year before for homes, and down 16.8% for condos.

The story of the year was the credit crunch. It slashed demand to the bone. Gone are 100% mortgages and no-doc mortgages. The tightening of underwriting has caused many people not to qualify for a home loan.

Sales were already weak before the credit crunch, but afterwards, they went into free-fall. Home sales dropped 21.2% from 2006, while condo sales were off 20.2%. This is now the third year in a row home sales have fallen. I expect we're nearing the bottom of the market, although we probably won't see much of a pick-up until the second half of the year.

P.S. To see the annual trend charts and tables for the individual cities in Santa Cruz County, click on the desired city name in the menu to the left.

Santa Cruz County
(Single Family Homes)
  Units Prices Percent Change
Year Listed Sold Median Average Listed Sold Median Average
1996 3,679 2,116 $236,500 $268,392        
1997 3,542 2,522 $265,000 $303,118 -3.7% 19.2% 12.1% 12.9%
1998 3,600 2,603 $300,000 $338,384 1.6% 3.2% 13.2% 11.6%
1999 3,304 2,617 $350,000 $401,467 -8.2% 0.5% 16.7% 18.6%
2000 3,366 2,464 $440,000 $527,071 1.9% -5.8% 25.7% 31.3%
2001 3,566 1,826 $487,250 $561,952 5.9% -25.9% 10.7% 6.6%
2002 3,700 2,319 $510,000 $566,608 3.8% 27.0% 4.7% 0.8%
2003 3,556 2,439 $540,000 $611,999 -3.9% 5.2% 5.9% 8.0%
2004 3,674 2,869 $626,000 $691,749 3.3% 17.6% 15.9% 13.0%
2005 3,808 2,283 $750,000 $834,435 3.6% -20.4% 19.8% 20.6%
2006 4,122 1,941 $746,000 $829,892 8.2% -15.0% -0.5% -0.5%
2007 3,411 1,529 $755,000 $857,148 -17.2% -21.2% 1.2% 3.3%

The chart below has prices in the thousands and unit sales in the hundreds . If you see a chart with ($000's), then only the price is in the thousands and the unit sales are as they appear.

Santa Cruz County
(Townhomes/Condominiums)
  Units Prices Percent Change
Year Listed Sold Median Average Listed Sold Median Average
1996 765 422 $160,000 $166,875        
1997 716 568 $168,700 $187,318 -6.4% 34.6% 5.4% 12.3%
1998 782 686 $181,500 $194,994 9.2% 20.8% 7.6% 4.1%
1999 702 689 $218,200 $234,050 -10.2% 0.4% 20.2% 20.0%
2000 615 559 $278,000 $310,498 -12.4% -18.9% 27.4% 32.7%
2001 694 435 $325,000 $348,488 12.8% -22.2% 16.9% 12.2%
2002 763 540 $342,750 $360,094 9.9% 24.1% 5.5% 3.3%
2003 786 692 $369,500 $386,316 3.0% 28.1% 7.8% 7.3%
2004 728 611 $427,000 $446,657 -7.4% -11.7% 15.6% 15.6%
2005 596 889 $515,000 $539,795 -18.1% 45.5% 20.6% 20.9%
2006 988 481 $525,000 $540,421 65.8% -45.9% 1.9% 0.1%
2007 822 384 $503,000 $547,281 -16.8% -20.2% -4.2% 1.3%


DEFINITIONS

Med. Price
Median Price is that at which 50% of properties sold were above that price and 50% were below.
Ave. Price
Average Price is the sum of all prices divided by the number of sales.
Ave. DOM
Average Days on Market is the average time it took to sell all properties.
Newly Listed
How many properties came on the market in the given time period.