Statistical Tables | Mortgage Rates Outlook | 10 Essential Questions To Ask When Buying A Home

Mortgages Easier to Get

Two major changes in the mortgage market go into effect this month, and both could help millions more borrowers qualify for a home loan.

First, the three major credit reporting agencies will drop tax liens and civil judgments from consumer profiles if the data is not complete. Specifically, the data must include the person’s name, address, and either date of birth or social security number. It seems many profiles do not have all this data. This alone could raise FICO scores by as much as 20 points for affected consumers.

Second, mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are allowing borrowers to have higher levels of debt and still qualify for a home loan. The two are raising their debt-to-income ratio limit to 50 percent of pretax income from 45 percent.

Inventory Keeps Tightening

Realtor.com reports that “there were 11 percent fewer homes on the market (nationally) in June 2017 than during the same time last year, marking 24 consecutive months of year-over-year inventory declines.”

Down Payment Assistance

Home Buyers using the C.A.R.'s Down Payment Assistance could be eligible for a $50,000 award! Find out which programs you qualify for with the C.A.R.'s FREE Down Payment Resource Directory!

http://www.car.org/tools/downpaymentresource/

June Sales Statistics

Trends at a Glance
(Single-family Homes)
May 17 Apr 17 May 16
Home Sales: 212 192 311
Median Price:  $1,512,338   $1,402,500   $1,200,000 
Average Price:  $1,860,795   $1,839,603   $1,422,003 
SP/LP: 111.1% 109.8% 110.9%
Days on Market: 24 26 28
(Lofts/Townhomes/TIC)
May 17 Apr 17 May 16
Condo Sales: 216 221 281
Median Price:  $1,200,000   $1,100,000   $1,050,000 
Average Price:  $1,371,817   $1,307,321   $1,222,169 
SP/LP: 104.5% 103.3% 105.0%
Days on Market: 30 33 33
Sales momentum…
for homes dropped two points to +7. Sales momentum for condos/townhomes gained 2.1 points to +2.2.

Pricing momentum…
for single-family homes rose 0.8 of a point to +1.1. Pricing momentum for condos/lofts fell 0.8 of a point to -1.8.

Our momentum statistics are based on 12-month moving averages to eliminate monthly and seasonal variations.

This is an extraordinarily tough market for buyers. It's important to be calm and realistic. If you don't know what to do or where to begin, give me a call and let's discuss your situation and your options.

The graph below shows the median and average prices plus unit sales for homes.

The following chart shows the median price difference compared to the year before.

 

The graph below shows the median and average prices plus unit sales for condos/lofts.

The following chart shows the median price compared to the average price. The average price will always be more than the median price. The greater the difference, the more higher priced homes are being sold.

The real estate market is very hard to generalize. It is a market made up of many micro markets, especially in San Francisco. For complete information on a particular neighborhood or property, or for an evaluation of your home's worth, call me.

If I can help you devise a strategy, call or click the buying or selling link in the menu to the left.

Monthly Statistics

Complete monthly sales statistics for San Francisco are below. Monthly graphs are available for each district in the city by clicking the links to the left.

May Sales Statistics
(Single-family Homes)
Prices Unit Yearly Change Monthly Change
Median Average Sales DOM SP/LP Median Average Sales Median Average Sales
San Francisco  $1,512,338   $1,860,795  212 24 111.1% 26.0% 30.9% -31.8% 7.8% 1.2% 10.4%
D1: Northwest  $1,625,000   $1,949,000  13 22 112.0% -14.5% -5.4% -23.5% -9.1% -18.4% -7.1%
D2: Central West  $1,519,838   $1,512,909  42 14 123.8% 26.7% 18.3% -4.5% 12.6% 5.3% 20.0%
D3: Southwest  $1,180,000   $1,126,577  13 28 114.7% 21.2% 2.1% -35.0% -11.3% -17.7% 116.7%
D4: Twin Peaks  $1,425,000   $1,630,545  25 26 115.3% -1.7% 8.4% -13.8% -12.7% -11.3% -3.8%
D5: Central  $2,487,500   $2,838,848  36 33 107.4% 4.4% 14.0% 38.5% 1.5% 11.3% 24.1%
D6: Central North  $-     $-    0 0 0.0% n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
D7: North  $3,700,000   $5,319,364  11 20 99.8% -17.8% 0.2% -15.4% -39.3% -1.1% 10.0%
D8: Northeast  $2,100,000   $2,165,000  3 29 105.6% n/a n/a n/a -36.4% -34.4% 50.0%
D9: Central East  $1,587,500   $1,681,118  24 20 113.0% -5.2% -0.4% 41.2% 9.3% 15.4% -7.7%
D10: Southeast  $930,000   $947,707  45 25 114.0% 9.4% 4.3% 36.4% 5.1% 4.4% 7.1%

 

May Sales Statistics
(Condos/TICs/Co-ops/Lofts)
Prices Unit Yearly Change Monthly Change
Median Average Sales DOM SP/LP Median Average Sales Median Average Sales
San Francisco  $1,200,000   $1,371,817  216 30 104.5% 14.3% 12.2% -23.1% 9.1% 4.9% -2.3%
D1: Northwest  $1,230,000   $1,215,778  9 13 117.8% 16.0% 11.6% -30.8% -18.9% -19.3% 50.0%
D2: Central West  $1,217,500   $1,253,750  4 12 115.6% 26.9% 24.5% 0.0% n/a n/a n/a
D3: Southwest  $706,400   $706,400  2 17 105.1% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 1.6% -20.0% -60.0%
D4: Twin Peaks  $739,500   $682,606  4 52 108.4% 12.4% 2.1% 33.3% 2.0% -13.5% -20.0%
D5: Central  $1,300,000   $1,294,862  39 24 107.3% -5.8% -12.6% 62.5% -0.8% -4.9% 11.4%
D6: Central North  $1,150,000   $1,342,186  21 25 108.3% -3.4% 19.5% 23.5% -3.8% 16.2% -16.0%
D7: North  $1,635,000   $1,819,014  36 17 104.7% 15.3% 8.2% 71.4% 13.5% -13.7% 28.6%
D8: Northeast  $1,222,000   $1,515,641  39 38 102.0% 11.6% 5.8% -25.0% 34.7% 27.3% 21.9%
D9: Central East  $1,156,544   $1,272,474  52 41 101.0% -2.8% -8.1% -38.8% 11.7% 9.8% -37.3%
D10: Southeast  $594,900   $675,451  8 47 99.2% -23.8% -13.5% 300.0% -28.4% -18.7% 300.0%

Mortgage Rates Outlook

 

Though Down, Rates To Rebound

Jun. 30, 2017 -- A little over four years ago, then-Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke famously inferred that the Fed might, if appropriate, soon begin the process of winding down the extraordinary stimulus it was using to power the economy. At the time, global markets were shaky enough to take this to mean a fairly imminent end to easy monetary policy, and reacted by selling off bonds over a period of eight weeks in the so-called "taper tantrum", lifting 30-year fixed mortgage rates by a full percentage point over that time.

This week, heads of three central banks -- the European Central Bank, Bank of England and the Bank of Canada -- all expressed sentiments that economic growth and inflation are moving in the right direction, and that at some point they would also begin to curtail large-scale asset purchases of bonds and even start to lift their key policy rates at some point.

Global bond investors of course took this change in rhetoric to mean that monetary policy would start to be tightened before long, and so sold off holdings of bonds in response, or at least enough to lift market interest rates to levels last seen a month ago or more. Not exactly a taper tantrum (which occurred over a period of months) but certainly the raising of a wary investor eyebrow at the change. As well, the potential for imminent change was later talked down, but to little immediate effect. Mortgage rates had been stable to slightly falling as this week progressed, but abruptly reversed course, and look to move measurably higher when the next national tally becomes available.

The distant early warning about potential policy changes by other central banks is the rough equivalent of a long-range weather forecast. The probability for a change may have increased slightly, but there are a lot of unknown and unusual forces at work that will shape when and where a weather event will eventually come. It will rain again; it always has in the past, but when still remains an open question.

Moves in the required net yields that approximate thirty-year fixed rate mortgage rates were a little better behaved than were their influential Treasury counterparts, but indications are that we'll see bump of a tenth of a percentage point or perhaps a bit more when Freddie Mac reports next week.

10 Essential Questions To Ask When Buying A Home (That You May Have Missed)

 

By: Lisa Johnson Mandell

You’ve finally found it: a home you’re swooning over and dying to own. From the exposed ceiling beams to the hardwood floors, this feels like the place. So what’s next? Don’t just stand there dumbstruck; it’s time to dig deeper and ask questions—and not just the kind that randomly pop into your head, either. You need to hit all of the necessary topics head-on, and some of them are not so obvious.

But you’re in luck: We’ve pulled together a checklist of some of the most important initial questions to ask when buying a home:

What is the home’s sales history?

When was the last time the house sold, and how much did the current owners pay for it? This is essential intel, and you don’t even have to ask the seller or your real estate agent about it, because it’s posted on every MLS listing. All you have to do is scroll down to find it. But make sure you know it.

When buying a home, the previous sale price will give you a sense of what the sellers might expect you to pay—but keep in mind that a home’s true market value is based more on what comparable homes are selling for now rather than what it went for in the past, says Los Angeles Realtor® Jennifer Niman of Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices. Sales history will also show you whether the home’s price has been trending up or down over time, which can help you hone your negotiating stance.

Did the sellers make any major renovations or additions?

If they’ve overhauled the kitchen, added a bedroom, or finished the basement, you’ll want to know that—and, ideally, see receipts from contractors to get a sense of what they paid for these upgrades.

In general, this will give you a ballpark notion of how much money they’ve sunk into the home—and what they hope to get out. That said, don’t assume you have to fork over as much cash as they put in; home improvements generally reap only a 64% return on average. And that return on investment varies widely based on which renovation is done.

How much are the property taxes?

Property tax history is also typically available right on the listing detail page. If you can’t find it, ask the seller. You’ll want to find out what previous owners paid, but understand that the property tax, since it’s based on a percentage of the value of the house, will probably be affected by your purchase price. This could be a huge additional expense, and you’ll need to budget for that when putting together your offer.

What are the monthly maintenance and utility costs?

Is there any type of homeowners association fee? Find out. Also learn what kind of power the house uses, be it gas, oil, electric, or a combination, and ask what the average monthly bill for each is. Also inquire about water, waste removal, and any other utility costs that are applicable.

Has there ever been a broken pipe? Sewer backup?

This may sound trivial (not to mention unpleasant), but according to the Insurance Information Institute, broken pipes account for an estimated 22% of all home insurance losses. If the homeowner doesn’t ‘fess up, a good home inspector can probably find evidence of either one of these situations, so you might want to put these on your list of questions to ask your inspector, too.

How old is the roof?

The 2015 Remodeling Impact Report from the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® says the national median cost of an asphalt roofing replacement is about $7,600. It would be good to know how soon you might need to lay out that substantial amount of cash.

Have there ever been any pest infestations?

If there was an infestation, when were pest control procedures undertaken? No, this won’t necessarily mean the house is pest-free at the time you’re buying it, but it’s a good starting point to know the history. Many buyers require that termite treatment be included in the price; it’s easiest to tent for pest removal when the house is empty, between owners.

Are there warranties on the appliances, HVAC system, garage door, etc.?

And if so, can the homeowner provide the documentation? Ask for it. This can establish how old these features are, and give you an idea of when they might need to be replaced and how expensive it could be. It will also help you decide whether or not to buy a home warranty. 

What are the parking restrictions around the house?

Will guests need parking permits? How many permits are you, as the homeowner, allowed, and can you obtain more if you decide to throw a party? Also, check out the parking situation on the property itself. Will your car(s) fit in the garage? Is there room to park anywhere else on the property other than the driveway?

Does the house have any kind of unusual history?

In many states, owners are legally bound to disclose if a death or major crime has occurred recently on the premises, but there are other circumstances you should be aware of as well. For example: Did anyone famous ever live there? Was it ever used in a film, TV series, or commercial? If so, you might have to deal with fans ringing your doorbell or driving by at all hours of the day or night.

Oh, and if the house has a history of being haunted or paranormally “stigmatized,” you might have a little extra negotiating power when buying a home. Thanks, ghosts.

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